Grok
xAI
· 2026-06-17
xAI's Grok model. The fastest responder with a tendency toward aggressive assumptions that trigger caps.
↯Speed Champion8.0s
Grok is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -3.5%. Moderate daily volatility (1.50%/day). Wins: Speed Champion. High validity rate (99.4%). Fastest model at 8.0s avg latency.
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-3.5%
Avg Gap
63/100
Calibration
17%
Correction Rate
37%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
77
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
48.2%
Mean Absolute Error
17.6%
Prediction Bias
-3.5%
Hit Rate (±5%)
19.2%
N = 1737 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
7.9%
σ = 6.91
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.7%
σ = 1.24
WACC
2.05%
σ = 0.16
Terminal Growth
23.6%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
99.4%
1760 / 1771 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 8.0s
Cost per Run: $0.0153
Total Cost: $27.11
~5226 + 495 tokens
Calibration Detail
63
/100
Correction Rate: 17.4%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 138
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