Grok
xAI
· 2026-05-01
xAI's Grok model. The fastest responder with a tendency toward aggressive assumptions that trigger caps.
↯Speed Champion7.3s
Grok is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -2.0%. Moderate daily volatility (1.50%/day). Wins: Speed Champion. High validity rate (99.2%). Fastest model at 7.3s avg latency.
Model Positioning
Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Key Metrics
-2%
Avg Gap
55/100
Calibration
42%
Correction Rate
40%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
44
Days Tracked
Bias History
Model bias over time vs other models
Prediction Accuracy
Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
49.3%
Mean Absolute Error
18.3%
Prediction Bias
-2.1%
Hit Rate (±5%)
19.2%
GPT51.5%
Claude49.6%
Gemini47.3%
DeepSeek48.1%
Grok49.3%
N = 981 · 1 Day
Current Estimates
Assumption Profile
8.1%
σ = 7.39
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.7%
σ = 1.20
WACC
2.07%
σ = 0.18
Terminal Growth
24.0%
EBIT Margin Target
Validity
99.2%
1004 / 1012 validity rate
Cost & Performance
Avg Latency: 7.3s
Cost per Run: $0.0154
Total Cost: $15.58
~5112 + 530 tokens
Calibration Detail
55
/100
Correction Rate: 42.3%
Uncapped Deviation: —
Total Valuations: 1004
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