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Claude

Anthropic
· 2026-08-28
Anthropic's Claude Sonnet. Tends toward balanced, well-calibrated analysis with moderate assumptions.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
Most Consistent1.1%/day
Claude is the most aggressive model — largest average valuation gap (+4.6%). Most stable day-to-day (1.10%/day). Wins: Most Consistent. High validity rate (98.4%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTGeminiDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

+4.6%
Avg Gap
64/100
Calibration
13%
Correction Rate
47%
Positive Bias %
Consistent
Volatility
33
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
52.2%
Mean Absolute Error
28.3%
Prediction Bias
+4.6%
Hit Rate (±5%)
19.5%
v8.10%25%50%75%100%14.7.21.7.28.7.4.8.12.8.19.8.27.8.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT
N = 763 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+94.7%
+89.6%
+54.3%
+39.7%
+30.7%
Largest Negative Gap
-56.2%
-44.9%
-39.5%
-30.8%
-29.8%

Assumption Profile

7.4%
σ = 5.73
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.3%
σ = 1.42
WACC
2.37%
σ = 0.45
Terminal Growth
23.9%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

98.4%
2936 / 2984 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 28.8s
Cost per Run: $0.0401
Total Cost: $119.51
~6776 + 1346 tokens

Calibration Detail

64
/100
Correction Rate: 13.2%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 786
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All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy