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Gemini

Google
· 2026-08-28
Google's Gemini 2.0 Flash. Shows high CAGR variance and distinctive valuation perspectives.
Calibration and accuracy describe observed behavior, not predictive ability. Experimental research — not investment advice. Terms of Use
Lowest Correction Rate49% bullish
Gemini is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of +3.8%. Moderate daily volatility (1.70%/day). Wins: Lowest Correction Rate. High validity rate (97.6%).

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTClaudeDeepSeekGrok

Key Metrics

+3.8%
Avg Gap
55/100
Calibration
14%
Correction Rate
49%
Positive Bias %
Responsive
Volatility
33
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
52.4%
Mean Absolute Error
30.5%
Prediction Bias
+3.8%
Hit Rate (±5%)
13.3%
v8.10%25%50%75%100%14.7.21.7.28.7.4.8.12.8.19.8.27.8.DeepSeekClaudeGeminiGrokGPT
N = 759 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+94.7%
+92.3%
+43.8%
+32.4%
+18.7%
Largest Negative Gap
-62.3%
-56.2%
-41.6%
-38.0%
-35.6%

Assumption Profile

8.8%
σ = 10.39
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.4%
σ = 1.61
WACC
2.04%
σ = 0.15
Terminal Growth
23.5%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

97.6%
2912 / 2984 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 16.7s
Cost per Run: $0.0108
Total Cost: $32.26
~6254 + 642 tokens

Calibration Detail

55
/100
Correction Rate: 14.4%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 783
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All content is generated by AI models and may contain errors. This is an experimental tool — not investment advice, research, or recommendation. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy