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Grok

xAI
· 📅 2026-04-03
xAI's Grok model. The fastest responder with a tendency toward aggressive assumptions that trigger caps.
Speed Champion7.2s
Grok is a moderate model with an average valuation gap of -2.4%. Most stable day-to-day (1.40%/day). Wins: Speed Champion. High validity rate (99.5%). Fastest model at 7.2s avg latency.

Model Positioning

Calibration score vs estimate consistency
Calibrated & ConsistentConsistent but UncalibratedCalibrated but VolatileLow ScoresCalibrationConsistencyGPTCLAUDEGEMINIDEEPSEEKGROK
Compare:GPTClaudeGeminiDeepSeek

Key Metrics

-2.4%
Avg Gap
53/100
Calibration
46%
Correction Rate
41%
Positive Bias %
🧊 Consistent
Volatility
24
Days Tracked

Bias History

Model bias over time vs other models

Prediction Accuracy

Directional accuracy vs actual price changes
Directional Accuracy
48.9%
Mean Absolute Error
20.7%
Prediction Bias
-2.5%
Hit Rate (±5%)
16%
0%25%50%75%100%3.3.6.3.11.3.16.3.20.3.25.3.30.3.2.4.
GPT52.7%
Claude48.3%
Gemini47%
DeepSeek47.3%
Grok48.9%
N = 526 · 1 Day

Current Estimates

Largest Positive Gap
+39.2%
+38.7%
+38.3%
+36.8%
+21.8%
Largest Negative Gap
-47.0%
-33.2%
-22.6%
-15.5%
-13.4%

Assumption Profile

8.3%
σ = 8.43
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.6%
σ = 1.23
WACC
2.12%
σ = 0.23
Terminal Growth
23.7%
EBIT Margin Target

Validity

99.5%
549 / 552 validity rate

Cost & Performance

Avg Latency: 7.2s
Cost per Run: $0.0153
Total Cost: $8.42
~4984 + 537 tokens

Calibration Detail

53
/100
Correction Rate: 45.7%
Uncapped Deviation:
Total Valuations: 549
AI Investor Barometer · Grok← Back to dashboard
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